Autonomy Level Sales Forecast

Achieving autonomous driving at SAE Levels 4 and 5 continues to stand as a primary developmental goal for the automotive industry, with anticipated profound long-term implications. The realization of these advanced functionalities necessitates substantial investments from automotive manufacturers, suppliers, technology firms, and mobility service providers. Nevertheless, the technologies underpinning these advancements concurrently facilitate the implementation of automated driving (SAE Levels 2 and 3), as well as the integration of advanced driver assistance systems (SAE Levels 0 and 1). These latter capabilities present noteworthy growth prospects and revenue opportunities for both automakers and suppliers, both in the present and the foreseeable future. This forecast includes new vehicle sales of all SAE J3016 Levels of Automation (from Level 0 through Level 5) from 2022 through 2035.

This forecast has been revised on February 14, 2024 to include new attributes from model-level forecast data. New attributes include Application Package Category and L5 All.

For additional detail—including brand or model granularity, or additional vehicle sales or production fields—please see the Autonomy Forecast details available here.