Autonomous Vehicle Sales Forecast

Autonomous driving at SAE Levels 4 and 5 remains a major development objective for the automotive industry and the long-term impact will likely be profound. The technologies enabling these new functionalities demand significant investment from automakers, suppliers, technology companies, and mobility service providers; however, these technologies also enable a range of automated driving (SAE Levels 2 and 3) and advanced driver assistance (SAE Levels 0 and 1) which represent significant growth and revenue opportunities for automakers and suppliers today and in the near term.

This forecast includes new vehicle sales of all SAE J3016 Levels of Automation (from Level 0 through Level 5) from 2020 through 2033. The IHS Markit Autonomy Forecasts are the model-level data upon which this forecast is based. For additional detail—including brand or model granularity, or additional vehicle sales or production fields—please see the Autonomy Forecast details available here.