On February 1, 2025, a significant shift in the automotive landscape occurred as U.S. President Donald Trump signed three Executive Orders aimed at restructuring trade relations with key partners, introducing substantial new tariffs effective from February 4, 2025. This analysis explores the implications of these tariffs on light vehicle production, examines potential impact scenarios, and assesses the immediate effects on sales.
Discover our in-depth analysis of the recent seismic shifts in the automotive industry following the signing of three Executive Orders by U.S. President Donald Trump on February 1, 2025. These orders, which introduce significant new tariffs effective from 12:01 AM EST on February 4, 2025, are poised to reshape trade relations with key partners, particularly Mexico and Canada.
This analysis delves into the potential ramifications of these tariffs on light vehicle production and evaluates various impact scenarios, along with the immediate effects on sales. As the automotive sector navigates one of its most unpredictable periods, we highlight the delays announced by Mexico and Canada following last-minute negotiations with the U.S., underscoring the precarious nature of a supply chain reliant on trilateral cooperation.
S&P Global Mobility has developed three potential scenarios to assess the implications if automotive tariffs are enacted against Mexico and Canada. While a delay was negotiated on February 3, the threat remains palpable, with both nations having the option to postpone implementation until March 1. This situation sets the stage for potential adjustments in trade structures with the European Union, the United Kingdom, Japan, and South Korea in the coming spring. Stay informed with our comprehensive analysis as the automotive landscape continues to evolve.